genevieve on the sea

When we last talked, Disturbance 3 was just a headline waiting to be written. It has now grown up.

On Friday, it was sitting off the northwestern coast of Panama. Yesterday, it finally developed into a full-blown tropical storm. Genevieve by name. And it will be a hurricane by this afternoon.

But the two questions we discussed on Friday are still helpful. It does not only matter that there is now a potential hurricane hanging out in the Pacific off the Pacific coast of Mexico. What is really important is where it is going to go.

NOAA has some good news for us. Based on current weather conditions, Genevieve, after turning into a hurricane today, will head off on a northwesterly trajectory paralleling the Mexican coast, but staying far out to sea. Along the way it will morph from a hurricane to a tropical storm as it passes over cooler water off the west coast of the Baja peninsula.

So far, there are no hurricane watches or warnings on the Mexican coast because the cyclone is too far from the coast. But this one bears watching -- for caution's sake.

My guess is that on-land weather patterns may be affected and you may get some wave action, but, if Genevieve stays on her predicted course, that will be about it.

You adrenalin junkies will have to seek your thrills elsewhere.