Friday, October 07, 2011

tune up the horne



It is time to break out the Lena Horne LPs.


Stormy weather is on the way.


I thought our rainy season was over.  But each time I say that, we get a sprinkle or two.


If the weather fellows are anywhere near correct, though, we will be getting a good deal of rain.  And wind.  And general havoc.  Somewhere around Monday.


Tropical Storm Jova is on its way for a visit.  Before it gets to the Mexican coast, it will build up enough steam to be promoted to a hurricane.  Which class we will just wait and see.


The current trajectory will take it over the Mexican Pacific coast between Puerto Vallarta and Melaque.  That sounds far more accurate than it is in reality.  Hurricanes are like bulls.  We may think they are headed one way.  But they will go where they want to go.


So, we try to forget the hysterical buildup over Hurricane Irene, and remember that hurricanes do cause real damage.  Even if it is the flooding following the storm.  We who sit on bodies of water are a little sensitive about quick rises in the creek.


And if Jova does not come rumbling over the top of us, there is a second hitter -- Irving -- warming up in the batter’s box.  It is a bit early to predict, but it appears to be heading our way, as well.


To paraphrase Eliot: this is the way the rainy season ends -- with a whimper and a bang. 


Perhaps, two.

25 comments:

Rick said...

YIkes!  Hurricanes dont scare me as much as humidity does.  Hang tough -

blog said...

I have seen some models of the pair of storms coming your way and closer to Puerto than the one you show, (southeast of Acapulco. Early to call but something to keep an eye on. We have to watch both the Pacific and the Atlantic storms with our locations. 

We actually can see the Atlantic Ocean (the Gulf) and the Pacific on the same day driving down to Puerto from Xico ;-)

Don Cuevas said...

Head for the hills while you can.

Saludos,Don Cuevas 

sparks said...

Got the first coat of impermeabilizante on my roof this week so looks like it gets a real test

NWexican said...

I hear it is beautiful in the Chapala/Ajijic vicinity.

Jimmy larry said...

brilliant post.! thank for this informative veiw.

Pakistani Lawn Collection

Mcotton said...

I agree with Don Cuevas.  Head for the hills.

Steve Cotton said...

The humidity is bad.  But hurricanes can be far worse.  I will be keeping a close eye on this pair of twins.

Steve Cotton said...

The problem with models is they are built on last war planning.  In any event, we will get some form of weather here over the weekend.

Steve Cotton said...

It is a bit early for that.

Steve Cotton said...

I wish your roof the best.  But I would prefer the worst part of the test to go elsewhere.

Steve Cotton said...

Don't worry.  I will play smart.

Steve Cotton said...

I just may get blown up that way.

al lanier said...

No wishing that you get a hurricane in Malaque, but hoping that if you do the rain-filled clouds keep going toward San Miguel. 

Steve Cotton said...

We had a nice rain storm here last night.  I understand it also rained in Morelia.  But I suspect the two storms on their way will offer some moisture for you.

sparks said...

According to StormPulse where you got your graphic ... it will be a level 3 when it hits us.  Very unusual pattern

Steve Cotton said...

If it does not veer.

Merida Mikey said...

Stay high and dry and most importantly - safe.  I've been through a few devastating hurricaines and trust me when I say they are no fun.  I wish you well.

Kim G said...

Hurricanes...add them to the list of minuses for living on the coast, and pluses for living inland. Here in Boston, despite forecasts of death and destruction, Hurricane Irene was a non event. But New York, New Jersey, and Vermont all got hit pretty hard.

Be careful. Being right on the water is the worst place to be, and if the hurricane hits at high tide, you really have to worry about storm surge.

I'm with your mother.  Head for the hills while you still have time!

Saludos,

Kim G
Boston, MA
Where we keep wanting see a hurricane until one actually threatens, and then we decide we'd rather not.

Steve Cotton said...

I am preparing for a stay here.  If it appears things will be bad, I have an alternative plan to head inland.

Steve Cotton said...

One of the dangers of heading inland comes from the rain.  Slides can cause as much damage as the wind.  If it appears there is a direct hit on the way, I may head as far inland as La Huerta.  It is on flat ground.

wiley stagg said...

It looks to be loaded with rain, could cause more damage than the wind.  After it hits you it could head north hopefully Baja Sur, La Paz .

Steve Cotton said...

Rain is often the worst problem with hurricanes in Mexico.  Typically, more people die in slides than die from wind-related causes.

Kim G said...

Rain and flooding is what killed Vermont. They didn't get all that much wind, but got a couple seasons' worth of rain at once.

Ten cuidado.

Kim G
Boston, MA
Where we have no desire to spend hurricane season on the Mexican coast.

Steve Cotton said...

And the rain could do the most damage here.  We have not had rain for a couple of weeks until the past three days.  The ground is now getting rather waterlogged.